The Real Culprits Behind Heart Disease: 5 Surprising Truths

Published By
Dr. Nelson Vazquez
On
November 19, 2025

For decades, the message from public health authorities has been clear and consistent: saturated fat and cholesterol from foods like red meat, butter, and eggs are the primary drivers of heart disease. This advice has become so ingrained in our culture that it feels like an undeniable fact. We've been told to limit fatty foods, choose lean meats, and replace butter with "heart-healthy" vegetable oils to protect ourselves from the nation's number one killer.

But what if this foundational belief, known as the "diet-heart hypothesis," is not just wrong, but a catastrophic scientific error? What if the very foods we've been told to avoid are being, and the foods we've been encouraged to eat are the real culprits? This is the challenging premise that a growing body of research is bringing to light ,fundamentally questioning 60 years of nutritional dogma.

This article, drawing from the work of Dr. Nelson Vazquez, will explore five of the most surprising and counter-intuitive truths that emerge when we re-examine the evidence from ametabolic health perspective. Prepare to have your understanding of diet and heart disease turned on its head.

1. We Blamed the Wrong Villain: How Sugar, Not Fat, Was the Original Suspect

Long before fat was universally condemned, there was a spirited debate within the scientific community about the true dietary cause of heart disease. In the 1960s and 70s, two scientists stood on opposite sides: Ancel Keys, a physiologist who argued that saturated fat was the villain, and John Yudkin, a physician who presented a robust case that sugar was the "most important risk factor."

Yudkin's argument was backed by compelling data. His analysis of all 22 available countries—not just the seven keys cherry-picked for his famous "Seven Countries Study"—showed sweeteners had a stronger correlation with heart disease mortality than fat. This wasn't an isolated finding; a separate 1975 study of 30 countries independently confirmed that sugar had the highest correlation with death from heart disease.

Despite this, Ancel Keys "largely prevailed," not because his data was superior, but because he argued his case more convincingly. This pivotal moment sent public health policy down a path that many now see as tragically flawed. The consequence was disastrous: food processors, following new dietary guidelines, began removing fat from their products. To make these new "low-fat" foods palatable, they're placed the fat with sugar, contributing to the very metabolic health crisis we face today.

2. Eating Fat Doesn't Raise Fat in Your Blood—Carbs Do

Here lies one of the most significant paradoxesin nutrition science. While it's true that high levels of saturated fat in the blood (serum SFA) are linked to heart disease, numerous studies show that eating dietary saturated fat has "virtually no correlation" with these blood levels. If eating fat isn't the cause, what is? The surprising answer is carbohydrates.

The biochemical process responsible is called De Novo Lipogenesis (DNL), which translates to "new fat creation." When you consume more carbohydrates than your body can immediately burn for energy or store as glycogen, your liver is forced to convert the excess into fat. This DNL process specifically elevates biomarkers like palmitoleic acid, a fatty acid that studies have consistently associated with adverse health outcomes. In essence, a high-carb diet forces your liver to manufacture the very type of fat linked to disease.

This understanding completely inverts the conventional dietary model:

  • High-Carb Diet: Leads to high blood sugar and high insulin, which drives high DNL. The result is high levels of harmful saturated fat in the blood.
  • High-SFA, Low-Carb Diet: Leads to low blood sugar and low insulin, which keeps DNL low. The result is low levels of saturated fat in the blood.

A landmark 2015 study by Volek et al. provided powerful proof of this concept. The study's conclusion was stunning:

"a very low-carbohydrate diet, despite a threefold higher intake of dietary SFA, actually decreased the levels of SFA in the blood."

The takeaway is clear and profound: the problem isn't the saturated fat you eat; it's the saturated fat your liver is forced to create from an excess of sugar and refined carbs.

3. The "Heart-Healthy" Oils in Your Pantry May Be the Real Threat

Now that we understand our own bodies can create harmful fats from carbohydrates, the next question is what happens when we add the wrong kind of dietary fat to this metabolically stressed environment? Mainstream dietary guidelines have long advised us to replace "bad" saturated fats like butter and lard with "heart-healthy" polyunsaturated vegetable oils, such as corn, soybean, and canola oil. According to the metabolic model of heart disease, this may be the single worst piece of dietary advice ever given.

The core problem lies in their chemical instability. These oils are exceptionally high in an omega-6 polyunsaturated fat called linoleic acid (LA). Unlike stable saturated fats, the molecular structure of LA makes it highly susceptible to oxidation—in simple terms, it easily becomes rancid, both on the shelf and inside your body.

When you consume these oils in the large quantities typical of a modern diet, this unstable LA gets incorporated into your LDL particles. In the inflammatory environment created by insulin resistance (driven by sugar and carbs), these LA-rich LDL particles are easily damaged and oxidized. This creates a uniquely dangerous particle called oxidized LDL(oxLDL). This is the critical point: it is oxLDL, not the native LDL your doctor measures, that is consumed by immune cells to form the "foam cells" that initiate the formation of atherosclerotic plaque.

This isn't just a theory; it was proven in a controlled clinical trial. A re-analysis of the Sydney Diet Heart Study found that when participants replaced saturated fat with linoleic acid-rich oils, their risk of death from all causes and from heart disease increased significantly, despite lowering their cholesterol. The conventional advice is therefore tragically flawed: it tells people to replace a chemically stable fat(Saturated Fat) with a highly unstable one (Linoleic Acid), effectively providing the tinder (LA) for the inflammatory fire (insulin resistance).

4. Your "Bad" Cholesterol on Keto Might Be a Sign of a Healthier Metabolism

One of the most common concerns for people starting a Ketogenic or low-carb, high-fat (LCHF) diet is a significant rise in their total LDL-C, or "bad" cholesterol. This number often alarms patients and their doctors, who have been taught that higher LDL-C is always a direct cause for concern.

However, the standard LDL-C number is a crude and often misleading measurement. It reports the total mass of cholesterol being carried, not the type or number of particles carrying it—which is what truly determines your risk. There are two key patterns of LDL particles:

  • Pattern B: These are small, dense LDL (sdLDL) particles. They are truly atherogenic because they are small enough to penetrate the artery wall, are highly prone to oxidation, and are a hallmark of an insulin-resistant state.
  • Pattern A: These are large, buoyant LDL particles. They are considered benign or even cardio protective because they are too large to easily enter the artery wall and cause damage.

When you restrict carbohydrates, your body undergoes a profound and beneficial "great shift." It stops producing the dangerous "Pattern B" particles and begins producing the benign "Pattern A" particles instead. Because large particles can carry more cholesterol mass than small ones, this healthy transformation can cause the total measured LDL-C to go up as a harmless side effect. A study confirmed this exact phenomenon:

"...while a low-carb ketogenic diet did not lower total LDL-C, it "did result in a shift from small, dense LDL to large, buoyant LDL, which could lower cardiovascular disease risk".

In this context, a rise in total LDL-C isn't a sign of impending danger. It may simply be a marker that you have successfully eliminated the truly dangerous small, dense particles from your system.

5. The Ultimate Proof: Lean People on Keto Have Sky-High LDL and Clean Arteries

The most compelling challenge to the "LDL is always bad" hypothesis comes from a unique group of people known as "Lean Mass Hyper-Responders" (LMHR). These individuals are typically lean, fit, and metabolically healthy. When they adopt a very low-carbohydrate ketogenic diet, they exhibit a stunning lipid triad: extremely high LDL-C(often 300-500+ mg/dL), extremely high HDL-C ("good" cholesterol),and extremely low triglycerides.

The "Lipid Energy Model" explains that this is not a disease state but a normal physiological adaptation. In a body that runs on fat, LDL particles are like energy delivery trucks, constantly moving fat-based fuel from the liver to the muscles. For a lean, fit person, this is a highly efficient, high-turnover system. In this high-energy state ,the turnover of these particles is extremely rapid. This creates a high flux of VLDL remnants being converted into LDL, which is why the LDL particle count appears so high—it reflects a busy, efficient system, not a pathological traffic jam.

This hypothesis was recently put to the ultimate test in the landmark KETO-CTA trial. Researchers used advanced cardiac imaging (CCTA scans) to look for actual plaque in the arteries of long-term ketogenic dieters with an average LDL-C of 272 mg/dL. The results were stunning.

The study found NO association between the participants' sky-high levels of LDL-C—or their high levels of ApoB—and either their baseline plaque burden or their progression of atherosclerotic plaque over one year.

The only thing that predicted future plaque was the presence of existing plaque. This led to the study's powerful tagline: "Plaque begets plaque, ApoB does not" (in this specific metabolically healthy population). It is the ultimate evidence that in the absence of insulin resistance and inflammation, high LDL is not the villain it has been made out to be. Context is everything.

Conclusion

When we step back and look at this alternative framework, a new picture of heart disease emerges. The primary cause isn't dietary saturated fat or cholesterol, but rather a perfect storm created by the modern industrial diet: a combination of refined carbohydrates that drive insulin resistance and industrial seed oils that provide the unstable material for oxidation. Atherosclerosis is not a plumbing problem caused by eating fat; it is an inflammatory disease rooted in metabolic dysfunction.

A truly modern assessment must shift focus from a simple LDL-C number to the markers that reveal the underlying metabolic state: the Triglyceride/HDL ratio (the single best proxy for insulin resistance), fasting insulin levels, and markers of inflammation like hs-CRP. If the entire meaning of cholesterol can change based on the metabolic health of the individual, it begs a final, powerful question: what other "settled science" in nutrition might be worth re-examining?

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